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Title: Modelling domestic air transport demand and evaluating under scenarios
Other Titles: Yurtiçi hava taşımacılığı talebinin modellenmesi ve senaryolar altında değerlendirilmesi
Authors: Ozan, Cenk
Başkan, Özgür
Haldenbilen, Soner
Ceylan, Halim
Keywords: transport; Transport demand; Indexing method
Abstract: The lack of balance and integration between transportation modes in Turkey is one of the main problems. In this study, domestic air transport demand is modeled and evaluated under scenarios. For this purpose, indexing method which is able to indicate observed monthly and seasonal variations in demand is used. Proposals are suggested in order to overcome the lack of balance between transportation modes. In modeling, purchasing power parity and jet fuel prices as independent variables are used. Results showed that the developed model using indexing method is substantially sensitive to observed monthly and seasonal variations in domestic air transport demand. Furthermore, in the event that there are optimistic an increase in the income level and a crawl in the jet fuel prices, domestic air transport can rival with railways for second place in the transportation modes behind highways. For this reason, it is considered regulation on wages policy and tax of jet fuel prices necessary to support development of domestic air transport demand.
ISSN: 1300-7009
Appears in Collections:Mühendislik Fakültesi Koleksiyonu
TR Dizin İndeksli Yayınlar Koleksiyonu / TR Dizin Indexed Publications Collection
WoS İndeksli Yayınlar Koleksiyonu / WoS Indexed Publications Collection

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